Masana'antar gabaɗaya ta yi imanin cewa, yanayin a shekarar 2022 zai kasance ma fi jinkiri fiye da na 2015. Alkaluma sun nuna cewa a ranar 1 ga Nuwamba, ribar da kamfanonin karafa na cikin gida suka samu ya kai kusan kashi 28%, wanda ke nufin sama da kashi 70% na masana'antun karafa suna cikin asara.
Daga watan Janairu zuwa Satumba na shekarar 2015, kudaden shiga na tallace-tallace na manyan masana'antun karafa a fadin kasar ya kai yuan tiriliyan 2.24, adadin da ya ragu da kashi 20 cikin dari a duk shekara, kuma yawan asarar da aka yi ya kai yuan biliyan 28.122, wanda babban kasuwancin ya yi asarar yuan biliyan 55.271. Idan aka yi la’akari da kayan binciken, yawan abin da kasar ke samarwa a kowane wata na kusan tan 800,000 yana cikin rudani. Idan muka koma 2022, kasuwar karafa ta bana da alama ta sake fuskantar irin wannan matsala. Bayan shekaru uku na kasuwar sa, farashin kayan karafa irin su tama da coke ya fara faduwa daga tsadar kayayyaki, da alamun shiga kasuwar beraye. Wasu abokai za su yi tambaya, shin farashin karfe zai faɗi zuwa mafi ƙasƙanci a cikin 2015 a babbar kasuwar bear na kasuwar karafa daga 2022? Ana iya amsawa a nan cewa idan ba a sami tsangwama daga wasu manyan abubuwan ba, farashin karafa da ke ƙasa da yuan 2,000 na da wahala a sake haifuwa.
Da farko dai, ko shakka babu an tabbatar da koma bayan farashin karafa. A halin yanzu, farashin tama na ƙarfe da coke, manyan albarkatun ƙarfe, har yanzu suna cikin tashar ƙasa. Musamman, farashin coke har yanzu ya fi 50% sama da matsakaicin farashin a cikin shekaru, kuma akwai ɗaki mai yawa don raguwa a cikin lokaci na gaba. Na biyu, bayan shafe shekaru ana gyare-gyaren bangaren samar da karafa, kusan dukkanin kananan masana’antun karafa sun janye daga kasuwa, an samu ingantuwar yawan masana’antar karafa ta cikin gida, kuma al’amarin kananan masana’antun karafa ba za su sake fitowa cikin rudani a kasuwar karafa ba.
A daren jiya, babban bankin tarayya ya sake kara yawan kudin ruwa da maki 75, kuma hadarin koma bayan tattalin arzikin duniya ya karu matuka. Duk da cewa halin da ake ciki a Turai ya shafi farashin kayayyaki, amma har yanzu ana samun raguwar farashin kayayyaki yayin da bukatar kayayyakin masana'antu ke raguwa. A cikin kwanaki goma na farko na Nuwamba, a ƙarƙashin yanayin cewa mahimman abubuwan macro ba su da tabbas, yuwuwar ci gaba da raguwar rauni yana da yawa sosai bayan an dawo da farashin ƙarfe da albarkatun ƙasa daga oversold.
Lokacin aikawa: Nuwamba-04-2022
